Redstate...
The
Candidates
Posted by Erick Erickson
Tuesday, December 20th
I
will not be endorsing any time soon.
I have made clear my reasons here (see link below).
I
am, however, continually surprised
that anyone in the GOP thinks Mitt Romney is a really viable candidate.
Should
he be the nominee, the American public will be treated to interviews
and
commercials with every person ever fired or laid off because of Bain
Capital,
an organization from which MItt Romney still draws money.
The
Romney camp response is, in
effect, “Sure, but look at all the people laid off because of Barack
Obama.”
Okay.
Sure. In other words, in a race
about job creation, we’ll have a fight over who caused the fewest
people to
lose their jobs.
That’s
a real winner of an argument to
have.
Meanwhile,
yesterday, a number of
bloggers across the conservative side of the internet rolled out
endorsements
for Rick Perry, including a number of front page writers here. While I
realize
Perry’s initial debate performances were weak and, should Perry make it
out of
Iowa he must absolutely and decisively remove Ray Sullivan from being
in charge
of communications, left people yearning for what might have been, the
man is
the three term government of the second largest state in the nation
under whose
administration close to 50% of all jobs in the nation were created in
the past
decade, and who has never lost an election.
And
there is also the fact that Rick
Perry is both a farmer and a veteran. In fact, Perry is the only
veteran
running for President who has a shot at actually winning. Republicans
used to
value military service in a candidate and they still should.
I
think Rick Perry has a vastly better
shot against Barack Obama than Mitt Romney. Of all the candidates
running, I
think he has one of the best shots, though his internal campaign
situation has
badly served him and he never should have left Ray Sullivan in his
position and
I question whether he should have brought on Cousin Eddie . . . er . .
. Joe
Allbaugh, a Bushie whose presence will just cause more comparisons to
Bush.
I
highlight Perry not to endorse him,
but to point out that his qualifications and experience are a far
better match
against Barack Obama than Mitt Romney’s, whose claim to fame is his
private
sector experience, which he is forced to highlight because in the 22
contests
on which MItt Romney has placed his name for public office, he has only
won 5.
While
I think Perry has one of the
best shots of beating Barack Obama, he is not the only one.
I
think Newt Gingrich has a better
shot at beating Barack Obama too. The former Speaker of the House is
more a
wild card than any of the other candidates, but he excites the base in
a way
that few do.
A
Gingrich – Obama debate would be
substantive, on policy, and would be a rhetorical knock out against
Barack
Obama. Consider that Rick Perry has been so badly served by a big staff
and
Newt Gingrich has now been so well served by a small staff. He has run
a
nimble, positive campaign on the issues and, unlike Mitt Romney, has
not spent
time in the private sector firing people wholesale not can he be
accused of
being a scion of Wall Street.
Jon
Huntsman too could beat Barack
Obama. In fact, pretty much every independent voter I encounter and
moderate Democrat
I encounter is baffled why we are not considering the guy they actually
prefer
right now. Part of it is because moderate Democrats prefer him and part
of it
is because Huntsman campaign made a conscious decision to start the
campaign
giving conservatives the middle finger.
But
Huntsman’s policy proposals are
deeply conservative. He is more pro-life than Mitt Romney, more
consistent than
either Romney or Gingrich, and actually seems refreshingly unwilling to
play in
the kabuki theater we expect the candidates to go through.
MIchele
Bachmann too is an outstanding
candidate. At a time when our tax code is out of whack, she is a tax
attorney
with deep knowledge on how to fix the system and how the present system
works.
In Congress, even people who don’t like her tell me she is one of the
quickest,
sharpest studies in the House Republican Conference. She, like Perry,
shares my
values and has an unapologetic believe in the greatness of this country.
Mitt
Romney is not a bad guy. I am
sure he is imminently likable. But he cannot beat Barack Obama. he
cannot beat
Barack Obama because we are in an election cycle when everyone hates
Wall
Street. Even the GOP is campaigning against Wall Street. And Mitt
Romney is the
candidate of Wall Street. He is the candidate who laid off scores of
people and
made a huge profit doing it. We on the right, as capitalists, may say
there is
nothing wrong with that, but swing voters are who still tuned out are
not going
to like it.
Oh,
and it seems clear Mitt Romney is
hell bent on winning this thing without conservative support, which
should be a
serious warning sign right now.
Read
this and other columns, plus
links in this column, at Redstate
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