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Human
Events…
Lieberman, Harman and
Vanishing Democratic Moderates
by Michael Barone
02/10/2011
Political pundits of a certain stripe have been lamenting the
disappearance of Republican moderates for years. It’s time now to
lament the disappearance of moderate Democrats.
Last month, Sen. Joseph Lieberman announced he wouldn’t seek
re-election. He lost the Democratic primary in Connecticut in 2006
because of his support of the Iraq war, but won in November as an
independent.
The irony was that the 2000 Democratic nominee for vice president was
re-elected largely by Republicans who spurned their party’s
little-known nominee. But Republicans seem likely to field a stronger
candidate in 2012, leaving Lieberman little room in the middle.
Then last week, Rep. Jane Harman announced she would resign soon to
become head of Washington’s Woodrow Wilson Center. Harman, who voted
for the Iraq war resolution and supported robust foreign and defense
policies, was conspicuously passed over by Speaker Nancy Pelosi for the
chairmanship of the Intelligence Committee when Democrats won control
of the House in 2006.
Harman’s Los Angeles beach-town seat is heavily Democratic, and as one
of the richest members of Congress she could self-finance her
campaigns. But she won her 2010 Democratic primary over a left-wing
opponent by 59 percent to 41 percent -- a narrow majority for longtime
incumbents who usually win by two to one.
Harman and Lieberman were both Democrats in the JFK and FDR mold --
liberal on most domestic issues (Lieberman almost single-handedly
pushed through repeal of the ban on open gays in the military in
December) and supporters of the use of American military power to
expand freedom and democracy in the world. But there doesn’t seem to be
much room for them in the Democratic Party today.
Last week also saw the announcement that the Democratic Leadership
Council would close its doors, after the retirement of its longtime
president, Al From, in 2009. From, an aide to Louisiana Rep. Gillis
Long, founded the DLC in 1985 in the wake of Ronald Reagan’s two
victories, in which he won the electoral vote by 1,014 to 62.
The DLC championed policies, notably welfare reform, intended not to
expand government but to make it work better. It gave early national
prominence to a young governor of Arkansas, of whom From used to say,
“Clinton really gets it.”
After the 1988 election, Democratic leaders, fundraisers and voters
were convinced that old-time liberals could not win and were ready to
take a chance on Clinton. And aside from the debacle of Hillarycare, he
delivered. Democrats lost five of six presidential elections between
1968 and 1988. They have carried the popular vote in four of the five
held since.
But over the last decade, satisfaction with the political successes of
Clinton-type governance were replaced by rage against the works and
deeds of George W. Bush. That rage seemed vindicated when Democrats won
congressional majorities in 2006 and when Barack Obama won the
presidency in 2008 with a larger percentage of the popular vote than
any Democratic nominee except Andrew Jackson, Franklin Roosevelt and
Lyndon Johnson.
The political philosopher James Carville wrote a book predicting
Democratic dominance for 40 years. Daily Kos bloggers, spewing hatred,
argued that the party could afford to purge the likes of Joe Lieberman
and Jane Harman and the Blue Dog Democratic moderates in the House.
Better off without them!
Maybe not. Of the 53 blue dogs in the 111th Congress, only 26
(including Harman) were re-elected in 2010. Another 21 were defeated
for re-election, and all six Blue Dogs who retired were replaced by
Republicans. If Democrats had held those 27 seats, they would still
have a majority in the House.
For years now, Republican voters have disregarded the pundits urging
them to nominate moderates, and practically the only Republican
moderates left in Congress are Sens. Olympia Snowe and Susan Collins of
Maine and Scott Brown of Massachusetts. And it’s notable that Brown won
his upset victory early last year not by stressing his liberal stands
on cultural issues but his opposition to Obamacare.
The constituencies targeted by moderate Republican strategists -- labor
union members, high-income professionals, Jewish voters -- have grown
smaller or have become heavily Democratic. Republicans have been able
to win without them.
The constituencies targeted by DLC strategists -- Southern whites,
urban ethnics, blue collar workers -- are growing or are not shrinking
as much, and at least in 2010 they voted heavily Republican. It’s not
so clear that Democrats can win without them.
Read it at Human Events
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