Townhall...
Lack
of Jobs Could Cost Obama His
By Salena Zito
7/10/2011
Where
are the jobs?
Not
the stimulus signs, not the
rhetoric about “shovel-ready” economic voodoo, not the propping-up of
an anemic
manufacturing sector, but real jobs?
Polls
showed at the beginning of July
that President Obama is in an increasingly hazardous position with
voters when
it comes to jobs and the economy.
The
McClatchy-Marist poll put his
economic-approval favorable rating at just 37 percent of registered
voters, and
a Gallup poll found U.S. economic confidence has plummeted by seven
percentage
points since last month.
Last
year in Pennsylvania, Obama used
the Allentown Metal Works as backdrop to tout the success of his
stimulus and
job-creation programs. A couple of months later, the plant closed.
His
vice-president, Joe Biden, told a
crowd in Pittsburgh that 250,000 to 500,000 jobs would be created each
month by
the start of last summer. The numbers never even came close.
To
date, this administration’s
handling of our economy is a failure.
“Excepting
some unanticipated major
event, the election will largely ride on the state of the economy and
public
perceptions of how Obama has handled it,” said Mark Rozell, a professor
of
public policy at George Mason University.
All
that the political opposition must
do is to seed as much doubt as possible about Obama’s economic
leadership, to
strike this tone early and often, and the president has a political
problem
more potent than his rhetorical skills.
On
a “Factory Belt” tour last month,
Obama spoke about new worker-training partnerships with government and
academic
elements in the political battlegrounds of Iowa, Ohio, Pennsylvania and
Virginia.
It
was an attempt to project
confidence in our economic future – but it’s hard to sell job growth
that is
moving at glacial speed.
“In
the short term, there may be some
support for the president because he is ‘doing something’ about the
economy,”
explained Rozell, “but, ultimately, the real test is whether economic
circumstances improve in time for election day next year.”
In
politics, perception is what
counts.
Last
weekend, the White House released
its seventh quarterly report. Written by the White House Council of
Economic
Advisers, it showed the Obama stimulus effort added or saved fewer than
2.4
million jobs – at a cost to taxpayers of more than $250,000 per job.
Most
Americans cannot understand how
that can be considered sound economic reasoning. They find it difficult
to
rally around what, to them, looks like foolishness.
Since
the recession began, the private
sector has regained about 30 percent of the manufacturing jobs it lost.
Those
jobs were created in spite of an array of regulatory policies that are
detrimental to manufacturing’s expansion.
Add
to that the administration’s
health-care policies (which drive up the cost of employment by
increasing
medical insurance costs) and its environmental policies (which drive up
the
price of energy, particularly in Western Pennsylvania where coal is a
major
source of energy), and you can see why private-sector companies are
skittish
about enlarging payrolls.
That
means the president has not only
a small-business problem but also a blue-collar worker problem. Both
are
sources of those independent voters who are so essential to winning
elections.
And
add to all that the Dodd-Frank
bill, says former Federal Reserve governor Larry Lindsey, “which has
made it
much more difficult for banks to make business loans, as more of their
resources must be devoted to regulatory compliance and (the) building
of
capital than to granting loans.”
Partnerships
are the key to economic
growth. One of the great economists of the 20th century, Joseph
Schumpeter,
described entrepreneurs as “gap-fillers and input-completers,” meaning
that
they brought together everything that is needed to create output and
jobs in
one place, basically by partnering with various groups.
Having
entrepreneurs as central to
this process is better than having government or academics, because
entrepreneurs
typically have the knowledge to get things done and have their own
money at
risk, thus creating real consequences if they fail.
“While
the president often talks about
having ‘created’ jobs … he didn’t,” explained Lindsey. “Such jobs that
have
been gained have been produced by risk-taking entrepreneurs.”
All
of that “shovel-ready” government
stimulus money filled many state budgets but not so many private-sector
job
rolls.
The
president’s resume does not
include much indication that he knows how to create jobs – which may,
in the
end, contribute to him losing his job.
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