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Military Officers Association of America
New Budget Rules Could Mean Gridlock

Republicans in control of the House and Democrats in control of the Senate have approved dramatically different budget rules for the 112th Congress that would appear to make it difficult for them to reach agreements on almost any major budget changes without major compromises by one or the other or both.

The most important change in the House was to replace the “pay-as-you-go” (PAYGO) spending rule with the “cut-as-you-go” (cut-go) policy. Under the PAYGO rule still used by the Senate, any increases in so-called “entitlement” spending must be offset either by cuts in other entitlement spending programs or increases in revenue.

Entitlement spending (also known as mandatory spending) involves any program that is subject to automatic adjustment mechanisms (e.g., COLAs) and doesn’t require annual appropriations. It includes such programs as Social Security, Medicare, military and federal civilian retirement and survivor programs, TRICARE For Life, VA disability payments, and more.

PAYGO rules also require offsetting the cost of any proposed tax cuts with equivalent spending cuts.

The new House “Cut-Go” rule requires that any new increase in mandatory spending can be offset only by other mandatory spending cuts, and not by tax increases. It also exempts tax cuts from any offset requirements.

Practically speaking, what will this mean?

The focus in the House is clearly to force significant spending reductions and make it easier to enact tax cuts.

But the different rules between the House and Senate raise the prospect that un-offset tax cuts approved by the House would violate Senate rules, and revenue increases proposed by the Senate to cover the cost of Medicare or other fixes would violate House rules.

To add to the complexity, the PAYGO offset rules are set in law, even though the House has chosen to use different rules for its deliberations.

In the past, the most frequently used way to get around the statutory PAYGO rule was to declare the spending increase an “emergency” need, as emergencies aren’t subject to PAYGO offset requirements. The new House rules likely will cut down on emergency spending increases, but will House members now seek “emergency tax cuts”?

If all this technical budget rule stuff is too geeky for most Americans, the bottom line is a pretty familiar one: expect more gridlock.

Read it at MOAA


 
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