Redstate...
The
Headline Goes Here
Posted by Erick Erickson
Tuesday, September 13th
No,
that title is not a placeholder or
an error. “What’s your headline,” so many people came up to me and
asked last
night after the CNN Tea Party Debate.
There
are so many headlines about the
debate. You all, I’m sure, want the quick and dirty scoop.
The
short answer is Rick Perry won,
but only by default. He had a stellar one hour and fifteen minutes
until the
full on conservative assault against his HPV decision and immigration
decision
began. Everyone took bites out of him, Huntsman choked on his bite, but
Perry
won because no one else did. This is the first debate this election
cycle where
Mitt Romney did not win.
But
Perry’s win was a win by default
in the end because he has a potentially fatal problem. I’m not sure if
it is
the candidate or the staff. But I could have told you a month ago Perry
was
going to get attacked on the HPV issue and the immigration issue and he
flubbed
both responses. When the crowd went from cheering Perry to booing him,
he lost
his calm, even paced conversational tone. He stammered, talked fast,
and had a
funny disposition on his face.
He
locked in his lead, I think.
Neither the HPV or immigration issue are fatal when Mitt Romney is up
there
sounding like a Democrat in a tea party debate. Romney really hurt
himself
badly with those answers on social security, etc.
The
other headline is Michele
Bachmann, who largely sat out the first hour attacking Perry, went
after Perry
with reckless, wonderful, passionate relish during the second half of
the
debate. She played outraged mom and played it well. She proved she
still has
what it takes. The downside for Bachmann is that she proved it on an
issue that
is not consequential right now. Perry’s HPV decision may disgust me and
many of
you — it was a horrible decision — but it’s still an election about
jobs, the
economy, and who can beat Obama. Right now, 42% of Republicans think
that’s
Rick Perry, not Mitt Romney and not Michele Bachmann. On top of that,
the GOP
critics can’t find anyone who was a “victim” of the law because the law
was so
quickly undone.
That
begs another headline: “GOP
candidate give Perry more hell for an undone executive order than
Romney got
for still supporting Romneycare.”
Another
headline is somewhat
self-serving. I really think this was the best debate of the season.
The
questions were on topics the GOP will use to pick its nominee. I think
it
helped to have a CNN “Tea Party” debate because the candidates knew who
their
audience was supposed to be. It really was a good and informative
debate. This
too raises another headline: “CNN Debate Highlights Just How Sucky John
Harris’s Politico Questions Were Last Week.”
One
more headline among the many —
“Perry benefits from schedule.” This, ultimately, is why Perry won’t be
badly
damaged. By the time he started flubbing, many viewers had most likely
moved on
to the NFL and U.S. Open. He benefited. But his flubs leave open
another
headline: “The race is still open.” Perry locked in his lead last
night. But
the lock in is not permanent and Perry left and opening for Romney and
Bachmann
to be resurgent.
He
does, however, go into the third
debate the undisputed front runner and will get yet another stab at
getting
those troublesome issues right — issues that will not hurt him in a
general
election, but could knock him out of a primary if he doesn’t talk about
them in
a way that mitigates them.
Read
it at Redstate
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