Townhall
Finance...
How Low Can
We Sink?
By Bob Beauprez
It
looked like another case of the
left hand of government not knowing what the right is doing, and indeed
that
was the case. The
Fed is considering
QE-3, Quantitative Easing, to drive interest rates lower at the same
time that
rates have already reached an all time historic low.
According
to the Washington Post, the
Federal Reserve is contemplating another round of bond purchases “which
should
lead to lower interest rates.”
This
would be the Fed’s third try at
Quantitative Easy – spending massive amounts of money created out of
thin air,
and hoping it stimulates the economy.
OK;
that’s traditional Keynesian
philosophy. The
theory being that lower
rates get capital moving again in the languishing economy. But, if lower interest
rates are the magic elixir
for our economic woes, it looks like the market already beat the Fed to
the
punch, and still the economy is stagnant.
The
benchmark 10-year Treasury bond
hit an all time record low yield of just 1.97% on Tuesday of this week;
the
first time ever it has fallen below 2 percent according to the USA
Today
report. Mortgage
rates parallel the
Treasuries, and are likewise at historic lows with no one expecting
significant
change any time soon.
If
cheap money was the secret to
getting the economy moving and if more government spending actually
stimulated
the economy, we should be roaring by now.
But, we’re not.
With
QE-1 and QE-2 the Fed likely
poured over $2 trillion into the economy.
I say “likely” because no one really knows
what the Fed does behind
their curtain of secrecy, but we do know that positive results of all
that
spending are hard to identify.
Surely
someone hanging around
Washington is wondering if there might be another reason why the
economy is
stuck in the mud other than interest rates.
In
the midst of a deep recession,
Washington created an avalanche of new regulations, passed thousands of
pages
of new legislation, made unprecedented government intrusions into the
private
sector, and burdened every American with trillions of new debt.
The
economy thrives on predictability
and certainty. But,
everything that the
Obama Administration has done has created more uncertainty and anxiety.
The
Fed can continue to print money
and drive down rates until the cows come home, but unless employers,
consumers,
and investors see a glimmer of future stability, the economy is likely
to stay
in a rut.
Read
the rest of the column at
Townhall Finance
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