Townhall...
Republican
Voters’ Choices
by Thomas Sowell
Dec 29, 2011
No
one seems to be really happy with
this year’s field of Republican candidates for that party’s
presidential
nomination -- except perhaps the Democrats.
The
sudden rise, and equally sudden
fall, of a succession of Republican front-runners is just one sign of
the
dissatisfaction of the Republican voters with this field of candidates.
In
this, as in many other aspects of
life, we can only make our choice among the options actually available.
So
Republican voters who want to be realistic need to understand that they
are
going to end up with qualms and nagging doubts about whomever they pick
this
time.
Not
all voters want to be realistic,
of course. Some voters, whether Democrats, Republicans or independents,
treat
elections as occasions to vent their emotions, rather than as a process
to pick
someone into whose hands to place the fate of the nation.
People
who think this way tend to vote
for someone they just happen to like, whether for personal or
ideological
reasons, and regardless of whether that candidate has any realistic
chance of
being elected.
The
surprising support in the polls
for Congressman Ron Paul seems to be of this sort. But does anyone
seriously
want to put the fate of this nation in the hands of a man who can
casually
brush aside the danger of nuclear weapons in the hands of Iran, the
world’s
leading sponsor of international terrorism?
Barring
some astonishing surprise, the
contest for the Republican nomination for president boils down to Mitt
Romney
versus Newt Gingrich. It is doubtful whether either of them is anyone’s
idea of
an ideal candidate or a model of consistency.
The
fact that each of the short-lived
front-runners in the Republican field gained that position by
presenting
themselves as staunch conservatives suggests that Republican voters may
have
been trying to avoid having to accept Mitt Romney, whose record as
governor of
Massachusetts produced nothing that would be regarded as a serious
conservative
achievement.
Romney’s
own talking point that he has
been a successful businessman is no reason to put him into a political
office,
however much it may be a reason for him to become a successful
businessman
again.
Perhaps
the strongest reason for some
voters to support Governor Romney is that the smart money says he is
more
“electable” than the other candidates in general and Newt Gingrich in
particular. But there was a time when even some conservative smart
money types
were saying that Ronald Reagan was too old to run for president, and
that he
should step aside for someone younger.
Washington
Post editor Meg Greenfield
said that the people in the Carter White House were “ecstatic” when the
Republicans nominated Reagan, because they were convinced that they
could
clobber him.
Today,
it is said that the Obama
administration fears Romney, but would relish the opportunity to
clobber
Gingrich because of his “baggage.” CNN has already started digging into
Gingrich’s most recent divorce.
Much
depends on whether you think the
voting public is going to be more interested in Newt Gingrich’s
personal past
than in the country’s future. Most of the things for which Gingrich has
been
criticized are things he did either in his personal life or when he was
out of
office. But, if we are serious, we are more concerned with his ability
to
perform when in office.
Even
some of those who believe that
Gingrich would devastate Obama in head-to-head debates on substantive
issues
nevertheless claim that all Obama has to do is come back with questions
about
Newt’s work for failed mortgage finance giant Freddie Mac.
But,
even at the personal,
point-scoring level, Barack Obama can open up a can of worms by going
that
route, since Freddie Mac at least never planted bombs in public places,
like
some of Obama’s political allies.
There
are no guarantees, no matter
whom the Republicans vote for in the primaries. Why not vote for the
candidate
who has shown the best track record of accomplishments, both in office
and in
the debates? That is Newt Gingrich. With all his shortcomings, his
record shows
that he knows how to get the job done in Washington.
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