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The
lion in
the room… ENTITLEMENTS
by Michael
Becker
May 12, 2012
…and it’s
going to eat us.
Let’s take
a look at the essay in Forbes that outlines ten reasons why we should
be
scared. The lion in the room: ENTITLEMENTS.
There are
three problems with entitlements – and those would be federal
government
programs like social security, Medicare & Medicaid and
ObamaCare.
The first
problem is one of language: entitlements. The left has co-opted the
language
and defined terms in their political leaning. As the adage goes, repeat
a lie
often enough and people will believe it. We on the right side of the
political
spectrum have allowed the left to get away with this and now the nation
is
getting ready to pay the price.
Why, in a
free society – and to be clear, I’m talking about a society that
embodies
individual freedom, not a society that gives people “free stuff” –
should
anyone be “entitled” to anything beyond the opportunity to pursue their
dreams?
Why does society – the government – “owe” me a retirement plan or
medical
insurance? And, if you’re going to try to scramble some answer to that
question, please include a reference from the U.S. Constitution. Bottom
line,
there is no reason, either constitutional or moral, why you should pay
for my
“stuff”.
The second
problem is the mindset of politicians, the major media and probably
most
people, and that mindset is captured in this from Forbes.
When
Medicare was introduced in 1960’s, it was described as “brazen
socialism” in the
Senate. When Truman proposed a national healthcare program in the
1940’s, the
plan was called a Communist plot by a House subcommittee. And when
President
Roosevelt introduced Social Security in the 1930’s, he was branded as a
Communist sympathizer by Republican Senators from Ohio, Pennsylvania
and
Minnesota, publisher William Randolph Hearst and Alf Landon
(Roosevelt’s GOP
opponent in the 1936 Presidential election). So in 1969, when the US
Census
found that one quarter of Americans over the age of 65 lived in
poverty,
politicians showed courage in creating a larger social safety net.
Bolding is
mine. Politicians showed courage… Please. Politicians found a way to
permanently link a population group – seniors – to the growth of the
federal
government. And, those who opposed Social Security and Medicare were
absolutely
right and I hope there’s a hot place in Hell for those who voted to
approve
those programs.
Now for the
third problem, and that’s the cost of the programs. They are not
sustainable in
any way, shape or form. These programs need to be privatized and the
federal
government needs to be out of the retirement and health care business.
Let’s
look at Medicare, again from Forbes.
In the late
1960’s, the government estimated that Medicare expenses would grow by 7
times
by 1990 (unadjusted for inflation); they grew by 61 times instead.
Just a
little miss, but typical of government accounting and an example of
exactly why
the critics of Medicare were absolutely right.
Social
Security is no better. The program was originally passed as a
“supplemental”
retirement program and was structured in a manner that had double
digits of
workers for every retiree. It was also scheduled to pay out in a manner
that
most Americans would never collect a penny given that the SS retirement
age was
several years older that the average life expectancy. Today there are
approximately two workers paying into the SS system for every retiree
and the
system is funded from cash flow not investments. THERE IS NO SOCIAL
SECURITY
“FUND”. The estimated “benefit” you see on your periodic Social
Security junk
mailing – recently put online to save mailing cost – is not guaranteed
and can
be modified or eliminated at any time. The money you pay into the
system in
taxes is not yours, it’s not part of your estate, as a 401K or IRA
would be,
it’s the property of the U.S. Government.
Between
Social Security and Medicare, the U.S. – make that my kids and yours –
are
facing an unfunded liability of over $100T. One hundred trillion
dollars. To be
paid for with future tax increases.
Here’s what
Forbes says about those tax increases.
How much
would tax rates have to rise to support entitlements growing at 5%-7%
per year,
if nominal GDP grew at 4%-5%? First, the 2001 tax cuts would have to
expire on
all brackets, and then tax rates would have to be raised by the same
amount on
everyone. At that point, federal debt to GDP would still be well above
2007
levels, but at least it would create some borrowing capacity to fund
entitlement payments. The question is what such a policy would do to
growth and
employment.
I usually
like Forbes, but this is simply a sappy analysis. They provide
absolutely no
facts in terms of where the money could possibly come from or how much.
They
also don’t bother to note that the U.S. is currently carrying debt that
puts
our “debt-to-GDP” ratio over 100% and all they’re talking about is
“creat[ing]
some borrowing capacity to fund entitlement payments.” In other words,
roughly
doubling the current tax rates will give us the cash flow to borrow
enough
money to pay the light bill.
And they’re
final sentence makes me wonder what planet the editors of Forbes live
on.
Certainly not earth. There should be no question about what will happen
to
growth and employment, and if you wonder at all, look at Greece.
Unemployment
is roughly 50%, there is no “growth” in the economy and their stock
market
closed today at a 20 year low and don’t count on a rebound any time
soon.
“Entitlements”
must be dealt with, and very soon or we’re looking at the explosion of
the
economy. Half measures are no longer acceptable; the system is so
broken that
tweaking won’t work. (Interesting side note to consider when listening
to
politicians who want to make minor changes to entitlements – “tweak
them” – on
the street, crystal meth users are known as “tweakers”.) Paul Ryan’s
plan is a
start. The Tea Party Senators plan is a better start. None, however, go
nearly
far enough.
Will a man
or woman of principle raise up with the courage to address moving
retirement
and health care out of Washington DC? I certainly hope so but I’m not
holding
my breath.
Source:
LibertyNews
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