Msnbc...
US
economy slowed to snail’s pace in
second quarter
GDP comes in at 1.3 percent pace, much
slower than expected
July 29, 2011
The
U.S. economy slowed to a crawl in
the second quarter as consumer spending stalled amid higher gasoline
prices.
The
Commerce Department’s first
estimate of second quarter growth, released Friday, came in at a 1.3
percent
rate, much lower than the consensus estimate of around 1.8 percent.
What’s
more, first-quarter output was
sharply revised down to a 0.4 percent pace from 1.9 percent.
The
data underscore what’s at stake as
lawmakers and the administration go down to the wire on negotiations to
increase the nation’s borrowing limit so the government can pay its
bills and
avoid what some say could be a catastrophic downgrade of the pristine
U.S.
credit rating.
Economists
have warned that a debt
default could push the fragile economy over the edge.
“The
implications of more rancorous
foot dragging would be bad for an economy already in a precarious
state,” said
Julia Coronado, chief North America economist at BNP Paribas in New
York.
“Uncertainty continues to tax an already fragile recovery.”
President
Barack Obama urged
Republicans and Democrats to resolve the issue and vowed to work
through the
weekend with top lawmakers.
“The
power to solve this is in our
hands on a day when we’ve been reminded how fragile the economy already
is,”
the president said in remarks the White House on Friday.
“Keep
in mind, if we don’t do that, if
we don’t come to an agreement, we could lose our country’s AAA credit
rating,
not because we didn’t have the capacity to pay our bills -- we do --
but
because we didn’t have a AAA political system to match our AAA credit
rating,”
the president said.
Stock
markets, which already had a
case of the jitters from the debt impasse, tumbled at the opening bell,
but cut
some of their losses as the session progressed after the S&P
500 hit
technical support.
Economists
had expected the economy
would show signs of perking up by now with Japan supply constraints
easing and
gasoline prices off their high, but data has disappointed. This and the
sharp
downward revisions to the prior quarters suggest a more troubling and
fundamental slowdown might be underway.
“The
second quarter disappointed, but the
first-quarter downward revision is more disturbing. It advances the
pangs of
concern. The debt ceiling nonsense is not going to help us. We’re
already in an
economy that is subpar,” said Scott Brown, chief economist at Raymond
James in
St. Petersburg, Florida.
“Gasoline
price increasing from $3 to
$4, that really slapped the consumer back considerably.”
Consumer
spending, which accounts for
about 70 percent of U.S. economic activity, decelerated sharply to a
0.1
percent rate -- the weakest since the recession ended two years ago.
Spending
grew at a 2.1 percent pace in
the first quarter.
Data
released on Friday showed the
2007-2009 recession was much more severe than prior measures had found,
with
economic output declining a cumulative of 5.1 percent instead of 4.1
percent.
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