Rasmussen...
What
They Told Us: Reviewing Last
Week’s Key Polls
Saturday, June 25, 2011
Americans
appear more pessimistic
about the economy than they have been in months and also express little
confidence that their elected leaders will do anything about it.
The
Rasmussen Investor Index, which
measures the economic confidence of investors on a daily basis, slipped
seven
points on Friday to its lowest level in nearly two years. Just 21% of
investors
now say U.S. economic conditions are getting better. Fifty-five percent
(55%)
say conditions are getting worse.
The
Rasmussen Consumer Index, which
measures the economic confidence of consumers on a daily basis, fell
four
points on Friday and is now less than one point above its 2011 year
low. Twenty
percent (20%) of consumers think the economy is getting better, while
56%
believe it is getting worse.
The
COUNTRY Financial Security Index®
dropped in June, in part because confidence in retirement has reached
an
all-time low. Just 51% of Americans believe they will have enough money
to
enjoy a comfortable retirement, the lowest percentage since the
inception of
the COUNTRY Index in February 2007. The drop also marks a consistent
decline
since October 2010.
Overall
confidence in housing values
among homeowners has plummeted. Just 45% now say their home is worth
more than
what they currently owe on their mortgage. That’s the lowest level
measured in
more than two years of regular tracking. Prior to the latest survey,
this
finding had ranged from a low of 49% to a high of 61% since late 2008.
Confidence
that buying a home is the
best investment a family can make also has fallen to a new low.
Forty-seven
percent (47%) of American Adults say buying a home is the best
investment a
family can make. Prior to the current numbers, this finding had ranged
from a
low of 51% to a high of 73% since September 2008.
But
even as Congress wrestles with
ways to reduce the crushing national deficit and get the economy going
again,
voter approval of the national legislature’s job performance has fallen
to a
near five-year low. Only eight percent (8%) of Likely U.S. Voters think
Congress is doing a good or excellent job.
Fifty-two percent (52%) rate Congress’
performance as poor.
Still,
Republicans hold a six-point
lead over Democrats – 43% to 37% - on the latest Generic Congressional
Ballot.
The GOP has led on the generic ballot since June 2009.
At
center stage for Congress these
days is the debate over raising the federal government’s debt ceiling.
Republicans refuse to raise it without significant spending cuts;
Democrats say
failure to raise the debt ceiling will be a serious blow to the
economy. Voters
strongly agree that failing to raise the debt ceiling is bad for the
economy.
But most see a failure to make significant cuts in government spending
as a
bigger long- and short-term threat than the government defaulting on
the
federal debt.
The
Republican-controlled House of
Representatives recently passed a bill that slashes spending on food
safety and
nutrition programs, but most Americans say reducing the deficit is more
important than increasing food safety inspections. Besides, they’re
confident
that their food is safe.
Most
voters (53%) also continue to
support repeal of the national health care law, as they have every week
but one
since Congress passed it in March of last year. The House earlier this
year
voted to repeal the law, but that effort has stalled in the
Democratic-controlled Senate. Now Republicans hope to stop the law by
not
funding the portions they object to.
Voters
appear to be increasingly aware
that serious budget-cutting will require changes in some of the biggest
political sacred cows. The majority of voters now understand that most
of the
federal budget goes to just three areas – defense, Social Security and
Medicare, but they still want to vote on any changes to the ones that
directly
impact their retirement. Interestingly, while Medicare and Social
Security are
big helps to most retired Americans, one-third of voters don’t care
much for
either of the long-standing government programs.
Protecting
the environment is a
concept most Americans embrace, but just 47% of voters have a favorable
opinion
of the Environmental Protection Agency. Nearly as many (45%) view the
regulatory giant unfavorably. However, only 25% think the EPA should be
abolished, even though 51% believe protecting jobs is more important
than
protecting the environment.
President
Obama on Wednesday announced
that the United States will withdraw 10,000 troops from Afghanistan
this year
and will bring another 23,000 home by the end of next summer. But most
voters
don’t think the president has gone far enough. Fifty-one percent (51%)
of
voters want all U.S. troops out of Afghanistan within a year, with 31%
who want
an immediate troop withdrawal and another 21% who want a firm timetable
for
full withdrawal within one year.
Voter
perceptions of the president’s
leadership skills remain relatively stable. Forty-four percent (44%)
view the
president as a good or excellent leader, while 36% rate his leadership
as poor.
This is in line with the president’s ratings over the past two years.
At
week’s end, the Rasmussen Reports
daily Presidential Tracking Poll found that 46% of voters at least
somewhat
approve of the president’s performance. Fifty-three (53%) at least
somewhat
disapprove.
For
the fourth week in a row, a
generic Republican candidate holds a very slight advantage over the
president
in a hypothetical 2012 election matchup.
Most
voters (61%) are still angry at
the media, although they’re less convinced that the majority of
reporters are
biased in favor of Obama. But voters continue to think most reporters
are
politically biased and tend to view them as more liberal than they are.
Alabama
this month became the latest
state to authorize routine police checks of immigration status and to
require
employers to verify that those they hire are in this country legally.
Voters
remain strongly in favor of tougher enforcement in both areas. While
most
voters still support a welcoming immigration policy, they also continue
to
firmly believe that border control should be the nation’s top
immigration
priority.
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