Rasmussen...
What
They
Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls
Saturday,
March 03, 2012
Seven
primaries, three caucuses. No wonder they call it Super Tuesday. Is it
also
Santorum’s last stand?
Three of
the states are gimmes as far as Mitt Romney’s concerned –
Massachusetts,
Vermont and Virginia. Rick Santorum was miles ahead in Oklahoma less
than two
weeks ago. But back then he was also 18 points ahead in Ohio, probably
the
biggest prize of the day. Now the Buckeye State is a tossup - Santorum
33%,
Mitt Romney 31%.
Romney’s
been surging since his wins this past Tuesday in the Arizona and
Michigan
primaries. The former Massachusetts governor now leads Santorum among
Likely
GOP Primary voters nationwide by a 40% to 24% margin.
This is Romney’s biggest lead to date
and the
highest level of support any GOP candidate has earned in regular
surveying of
the race. Two weeks earlier, it was Santorum 39%, Romney 27%.
Rasmussen
Reports will report new numbers out of Ohio on Monday to see if that
surge is
still evident.
The
Republican primary in another of Tuesday’s states, Georgia, appears to
be
wrapped up already by native son Newt Gingrich. The former House
speaker and
one-time Georgia congressman earns 38% support to Romney’s 26% and
Santorum’s
20%, with Texas Congressman Ron Paul trailing at seven percent (7%).
But
Santorum’s lost eight points from just over a week ago, while Romney’s
gained
six. Perhaps more
significantly,
Romney’s moved into second place ahead of the former U.S. senator from
Pennsylvania.
As for the
man they hope to replace, his job approval numbers as measured by the
Rasmussen
Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll inched up further in February,
continuing a trend first noted in January and last month resulting in
his
highest monthly approval index in one year.
Helping the
president out is the improved confidence in both groups measured in the
Rasmussen Consumer and Investor Indexes.
However,
Scott Rasmussen suggests in his latest syndicated column that none of
the
candidates is really connecting with the middle class because they live
in a
more affluent world and don’t share middle class concerns.
The
president holds modest leads over the top two Republican presidential
hopefuls
in Wisconsin. Most Wisconsin voters also approve of the job embattled
Governor
Scott Walker is doing and oppose the effort to recall him from office
before
the next election.
Former
Governor Tommy Thompson continues to be the strongest Republican
contender for
Wisconsin’s open U.S. Senate seat, now posting a double-digit lead over
Democratic Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin.
Massachusetts
Senator Scott Brown, who won the 2010 special election to finish the
term of
the late Ted Kennedy, holds a modest lead over his expected Democrat
challenger
Elizabeth Warren – 49% to 44% - in the first Rasmussen Reports’ look at
his
2012 reelection bid in the Bay State.
Not that
voters think much of the body Brown works in. Just 10% of Likely U.S.
Voters
now rate Congress’ performance as good or excellent. That’s the highest
positive finding since last March, but 63% still think Congress is
doing a poor
job. Thirty-six percent (36%) of voters continue to believe most
members of
Congress are corrupt. Forty-one percent (41%) disagree and say most
members are
not corrupt, but 23% more aren’t sure.
Voters
overwhelmingly believe congressmen leave Washington, D.C. wealthier
than when
they got there and want the law to do something about it. In fact, 72%
think
members of Congress and senior government officials, during their time
in
office, should be banned from trading stocks, investing in real estate
and
pursuing all business activity that could be affected by government
policy.
Republicans
remain slightly ahead of Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot.
Unhappiness
with Congress stems in part from its failure to tackle the government’s
overaddiction to spending, as Scott Rasmussen explains in his new book,
The
People’s Money: How the American People Will Balance the Budget and
Eliminate
the Federal Debt . The
nation’s
politicians created the current budget crisis by pursuing their own
agenda and
ignoring voters, he argues. He then highlights solutions to the
nation’s fiscal
crisis that can be supported by voters.
Most voters
(64%) continue to believe that no government program should be exempt
when it
comes to budget cuts. Most also recognize that the United States is the
world
leader in defense spending, and nearly one-third think we spend too
much.
But a major
partisan divide exists over whether government efforts to manage the
economy do
more harm than good. By a 46% to 26% margin, Democrats tend to believe
that
putting the government in charge helps the economy. Solid majorities of
Republicans (66%) and those not affiliated with either of the major
parties
(57%) take the opposite view and think government efforts to manage the
economy
end up hurting the economy.
Yet even
while most Americans don’t believe rising gas prices reflect actual
market
conditions, a majority says free market competition is better than
government
regulations at keeping prices down. Americans continue to believe
strongly than
the country needs to lessen its dependence on foreign oil, but again
they tend
to think free market solutions are the best way to achieve that goal.
Americans
recognize, too, that free isn’t free when it comes to government aid.
While the
political debate continues over mandated free contraception for women,
most
voters now oppose the idea of free health care for all Americans.
Opposition is
even higher if voters are required to change their current insurance
coverage
to a government plan to make that free health care possible.
One-out-of-three
Americans thinks letting people buy homes with no money down is good
for the
housing market, but most say the government should only back mortgages
for
those who can repay them. Unchanged
are
the low opinions Americans have of government-backed mortgage lenders
Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac.
Read this
article with links at Rasmussen
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