Rasmussen…
What
They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key
Polls
Saturday, September 15, 2012
The
presidential race definitely had its ups
and downs this past week.
At
the start of the week, President Obama
coming off a successful national convention had bounced ahead of his
Republican
challenger Mitt Romney. By week’s end, the bounce was gone, and the
race looked
like the conventions had never happened in the daily Presidential
Tracking
Poll. Likely to complicate the picture was the killing of the first
U.S.
ambassador overseas since 1979 and increasingly angry anti-U.S.
protests
spreading through the Middle East.
In
Virginia and Ohio Obama leads by a point. In
Florida, the
president is up two. Romney
has edged back into the lead in Missouri and is up six in North
Carolina.
In
the Ohio Senate race, Democratic incumbent
Sherrod Brown has the advantage over Republican challenger Josh Mandel.
In
Missouri's Senate contest, incumbent Democrat Claire McCaskill holds a
six-point lead – 49% to 43% - over Republican challenger Todd Akin. See
the
latest Rasmussen
Reports Electoral
College Projections and the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power
projections. .
The
presidential election remains a
neck-and-neck affair, with the outcome very likely to turn on 11
battleground
states, seven of which remain Toss-Ups in the Rasmussen Reports
Electoral
College Projections. Now that the national conventions are over, we’re
surveying likely voters in those states again, and in most cases the
candidates
remain just a point or two apart.
Scott
Rasmussen and his guests zero in on the
state of Election 2012 in the latest edition of What America Thinks,
appearing
this weekend on over 60 television stations nationwide. Check for
stations in
your area.
By
a 50% to 43% margin, voters nationwide now
trust Romney more than the president when it comes to dealing with the
troubled
U.S. economy, the number one issue on their minds as they go to the
polls. But
like the overall race itself, the two men run nearly even on several
other key
issues, including health care, taxes and energy policy.
Voters
overwhelmingly rate job creation as
important to their vote but are almost evenly divided when it comes to
which
presidential candidate they trust more on the issue. Forty-seven
percent (47%)
trust the president more on the issue of job creation versus 45% who
trust his
GOP challenger more. Voters are also narrowly divided over whether
bigger or
smaller government is the answer to America’s continuing high
unemployment
rate.
Voters
express slightly more confidence in
Romney when it comes to job creation in the private sector, but as
Scott
Rasmussen explains in a new radio update, voters aren’t confident that
either
presidential candidate has the answer when it comes to new jobs.
(Listen to
Scott’s radio updates three times daily Monday through Friday on a
radio
station in your area, courtesy of the WOR Radio Network.)
The
president also now leads Romney in terms of
voter trust on a number of other key issues including Afghanistan,
education
and Social Security. The partisan divide is predictable, but the
president has
a clear advantage among unaffiliated voters.
It’s
unclear how perceptions of the candidates
will be impacted by the murder this week of the U.S. ambassador to
Libya and
attacks on U.S. embassies in Cairo and elsewhere in the Middle East.
Most
Americans believe the Libyan government may have had something to do
with the
ambassador’s murder and are not confident that the Libyans will punish
his
killers.
The
president’s convention bounce helped
Democrats take a lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the first
time
since January.
It
was a week of exceptions. Voters are now
evenly divided for the first time ever over whether the president’s
national health
care law will be good or bad for the country. Forty-four percent (44%)
now
think the law will be good for the country, the highest finding ever.
For the
second week in a row, 50% favor repeal of the law, while 44% are
opposed. Only
once in the past two-and-a-half years has support for repeal been lower.
But
then as Scott Rasmussen points out in his
latest syndicated column, “The health care debate is a great example of
why
Americans hate politics.” The way he sees it, “Both Republicans and
Democrats
pursue their plans with ideological zeal and reckless disregard for the
truth
in hopes of winning 51 percent of the vote. Voters hold their nose and
choose
but would rather have their leaders search for consensus. … Building
consensus
on health care reform requires taking good ideas from both Democrats
and
Republicans.”
Other
surprising findings this week include the
47% of voters who now think America’s best days are still ahead, up 15
points
over last month and the highest level of optimism since early 2010.
Support for
the bailouts of General Motors and Chrysler and the financial industry
also
have jumped. For the first time ever, most voters (53%) think the auto
bailouts
were good for the country.
It
will be interesting to see whether this
increased optimism holds or is just statistical noise.
The
Rasmussen Consumer and Investor Indexes, on
the other hand, were little changed at week’s end. Most of those in
both groups
still think the economy is getting worse.
Also
capturing headlines this week is the
ongoing strike by Chicago’s public teachers for more pay and different job evaluation
procedures.
Americans continue to regard teachers very highly but have mixed
feelings about
teachers’ unions. They’re also narrowly divided over whether it should
be legal
for teachers to strike under any circumstances.
Americans
tend to think public school teachers
are not paid enough until they find out how much they actually are
paid. Only
25% correctly recognize that the average school teacher is paid between
$40,000
and $50,000 a year.
Read
the rest of the article at Rasmussen
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