President,
Darke County Senior Scribes
D
O U
B L E B L I N D
By
Delbert Blickenstaff, M.D.
Have
you been advised by a well-meaning friend to take the little pink pills
for
your aches and pains because “Aunt Myrtle took them and they cured her
lumbago?” There are
several things wrong
with your friend’s advice. Did
Aunt
Myrtle really have “lumbago?” Would
she
have improved without taking the little pink pills?
Do you have the same problem Aunt Myrtle
had? Your friend’s
method of reporting
medical results is called “testimonial,” and it’s a very unreliable
method.
Reliable
scientific investigation uses the Double Blind method.
This story from the University of Oregon
School of Medicine explains how this method is used.
Two Dermatologists had done some
investigations of a drug which they called “8-MOP,” or
8-methoxypsoralen, and
which was supposed to protect against sunburn.
They used a poorly controlled method of
investigation in which they
would hand out capsules containing 8-MOP to students who were going
skiing. When the
students returned the
doctors asked how well they thought they were protected from sunburn. A staff Statistician
looked at their methods
and decided that there was too much testimonial reporting, and so he
planned a
double blind study.
In
preparation for this big study some details had to be worked out and
Louise and
I volunteered to be subjects. Portland
is not known for smog but the air on Mt. Hood was considered to be
clearer. So several
of us went up to Timberline Lodge
which was about 5000 ft. altitude where there was nothing but pure air. We lay down on soft
blankets, exposing only a
small patch of skin to the sun. We
listened to a mountain stream and the singing of birds while we cooked
in the
sun. It was hard
work but someone had to
do it.
The
University obtained the cooperation of the Arizona State Prison, and
inmate
volunteers. The
experimental subjects
were divided into two groups, A and B.
Each group was given a capsule before each
test. Only the
Statistician knew what was in the
capsules. The
subjects were exposed to
direct sunlight for a measured period of time, usually one or two hours. At the end of the tests
the Dermatologists
graded the degree of sunburn on each subject, not knowing which group
got the
8-MOP and which group got placebos.
At
the end the code was broken and the results were obvious. Instead of protecting
against sunburn, as the
doctors had anticipated, the 8-MOP actually augmented the effects of
sun
exposure. Using the
double blind method
of experimentation, both the subjects and the doctors were kept in the
dark
until the scores were in. Only
then
could one reach an unbiased conclusion.
So
Aunt Myrtle, I’m glad that you recovered from your lumbago, but your
testimony
is really not very reliable.
Delbert
Blickenstaff, M.D.
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