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AFC
championship has the lines
January 17, 2012
Photo:
Greenville’s Matt Light will be playing for another shot at a Super
Bowl this
Sunday when the New England Patriots host the Baltimore Ravens in the
AFC
Championship in Foxboro, Mass. From yahoo sports.
For the
first time since the 2004 season, the No. 1 seed in the AFC will face
the No. 2
for a trip to the Super Bowl. As New England Patriots fans will
remember, it
was the No. 2-seeded Patriots who went into Pittsburgh and won that
season. In
this case, New England gets to play host to the Baltimore Ravens.
While the
teams haven’t faced off this season, there’s plenty of recent history
between
the two, featuring four games – three regular-season contests, one
playoff game
– since the 2007 season. While the Patriots won the three
regular-season games,
none of those victories was dominant (the largest margin of victory was
six
points and the other two wins were by three each).
Moreover,
the Ravens have done a good job of keeping Tom Brady under control,
including
his MVP season of 2007, for those who remember that emotionally charged
game.
The
Patriots’ hurry-up, spread offense vs. the Baltimore defense – As
mentioned,
since 2007, when the Patriots switched to a more aggressive passing
offense,
the Ravens have played them about as well as anybody. Baltimore has
contained
quarterback Tom Brady to six touchdown passes and six interceptions in
those
games. That said, the last time these teams squared off, New England
tight ends
Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez were playing in only their sixth
career game
and the Patriots were in the primitive stages of developing their
current
offense. Gronkowski had only one catch for 24 yards. He hasn’t been
held to
fewer than four receptions since Week 4 of this season.
Coming off
his six-touchdown effort against Denver on Saturday night, which also
put an
end to Tebowmania for at least this season, Brady is back at the top of
the
list of storylines in the NFL. Look for all sorts of angles about how
important
this playoff run is for Brady, who at 34 is the oldest quarterback left
in the
bunch. A fourth Super Bowl title would add lots of ammo to the
contention Brady
is the best ever.
Can
Baltimore quarterback Joe Flacco come through? Flacco made headlines
with his
mild jokes about not getting much credit for the Ravens’ playoff
success. Well,
there’s a reason for that. Flacco has yet to have a stellar playoff
performance
in eight games. He was solid against Houston on Sunday, completing 14
of 27 for
176 yards, two TDs and no interceptions. But he was also sacked five
times and
it was the Ravens’ defense that pulled this one out. He has one game
(vs.
Kansas City in the 2010 season) that could be classified as really good
in the
postseason. Flacco needs a signature game at some point and now would
be a good
time since the Ravens will likely need at least 27 points to win.
Will
Baltimore offensive coordinator Cam Cameron remain patient? As much as
Flacco
needs to play well, there’s also the issue of making sure running backs
Ray
Rice and Ricky Williams get enough touches, particularly against a
vulnerable
New England defense. In three career games against the Patriots, Rice
has 61
carries for 350 yards and two touchdowns. The Ravens are 1-2 in those
contests.
Moreover, the Ravens are 12-0 this season when Rice has 20 or more
touches
(carries and catches). They are 1-4 when he doesn’t, the one win coming
early
in the season against 2-14 St. Louis.
Can
the New England defense be that good
again? After getting lit up to the tune of 74 points in the first half
against
lesser teams (Washington, Denver, Miami and Buffalo) over the final
four games
of the season, the Patriots shut down the Broncos on Saturday. The
caveat is
that getting a second chance against pass-challenged Denver wasn’t a
litmus
test. It’s one thing to stop Tim Tebow. It will be another to stop the
Ravens.
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